1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.36
xG Away
0.76
Over 2.5 Goals
36%
BTTS
40%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Aarhus GF an expected 1.4 goals and Brondby an expected 0.8 goals. Aarhus GF have a 51% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Brondby at 21%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 64%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
16.3%
1:1
12.4%
0:0
12%
2:0
11.1%
0:1
9.1%
2:1
8.5%
3:0
5.1%
1:2
4.7%
3:1
3.8%
0:2
3.4%
2:2
3.2%
4:0
1.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Aarhus GF Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Aarhus GF | Brondby | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 4 |
| 67 | Points | 45 |
| 59% | Win % | 41% |
| 1.94 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.38 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.09 |
Venue Form
Aarhus GF at Home
W1
D3
L0
(4 games)
Brondby Away
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Aarhus GF
D
W
D
D
Brondby
L
L
W
Head to Head
Brondby
0 : 2
Aarhus
W
Aarhus
0 : 0
Brondby
D
Brondby
3 : 3
Aarhus
D
