1
48%
Home Win
2.1
X
30%
Draw
3.35
2
22%
Away Win
4.46
xG Home
1.23
xG Away
0.74
Over 2.5 Goals
31%
BTTS
37%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Aarhus GF an expected 1.2 goals and Brondby an expected 0.7 goals. Aarhus GF have a 48% win probability, draw stands at 30%, and Brondby at 22%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 69%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
17.1%
0:0
14%
1:1
12.7%
2:0
10.5%
0:1
10.4%
2:1
7.8%
1:2
4.7%
3:0
4.3%
0:2
3.8%
3:1
3.2%
2:2
2.9%
4:0
1.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Aarhus GF Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Aarhus GF | Brondby | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 4 |
| 50 | Points | 34 |
| 68% | Win % | 45% |
| 2.09 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.41 |
| 1.05 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
Venue Form
Aarhus GF at Home
W1
D2
L0
(3 games)
Brondby Away
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Aarhus GF
W
D
D
Brondby
L
W
Head to Head
Brondby
0 : 2
Aarhus
W
Aarhus
0 : 0
Brondby
D
Brondby
3 : 3
Aarhus
D
