1
67%
Home Win
1.5
X
19%
Draw
5.35
2
15%
Away Win
6.86
xG Home
2.25
xG Away
0.95
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
BTTS
55%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives 1899 Hoffenheim an expected 2.3 goals and Werder Bremen an expected 1.0 goals. 1899 Hoffenheim have a 67% win probability, draw stands at 19%, and Werder Bremen at 15%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 62%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
10.3%
2:1
9.8%
1:0
9.1%
1:1
8.7%
3:0
7.7%
3:1
7.4%
2:2
4.7%
4:0
4.3%
1:2
4.1%
4:1
4.1%
0:0
4.1%
0:1
3.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | 1899 Hoffenheim Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 67% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.49 |
| Market Odds | 1.59 |
Team Comparison
| 1899 Hoffenheim | Werder Bremen | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | League Position | 15 |
| 61 | Points | 32 |
| 53% | Win % | 24% |
| 1.91 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.09 |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.76 |
Venue Form
1899 Hoffenheim at Home
W2
D1
L2
(5 games)
Werder Bremen Away
W0
D1
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
1899 Hoffenheim
L
W
D
W
L
Werder Bremen
L
D
L