1899 Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart Prediction

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1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sat, 12 Sep 2026 · Bundesliga
1 39%
Home Win 2.54
X 22%
Draw 4.61
2 39%
Away Win 2.57
xG Home 1.84
xG Away 1.83
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
BTTS 71%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives 1899 Hoffenheim an expected 1.8 goals and VfB Stuttgart an expected 1.8 goals. 1899 Hoffenheim have a 39% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and VfB Stuttgart at 39%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 71%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 8.6%
2:1 7.9%
1:2 7.8%
2:2 7.2%
3:1 4.8%
1:3 4.8%
1:0 4.7%
0:1 4.7%
3:2 4.4%
2:3 4.4%
2:0 4.3%
0:2 4.3%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick 1899 Hoffenheim Win
Probability 39%
Predicted Odds 2.56
Market Odds 2.73

Team Comparison

1899 Hoffenheim VfB Stuttgart
5 League Position 4
61 Points 62
53% Win % 53%
1.91 Avg Goals Scored 2.09
1.53 Avg Goals Conceded 1.44

Venue Form

1899 Hoffenheim at Home
W2 D1 L2 (5 games)
40% win rate
VfB Stuttgart Away
W0 D1 L1 (2 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

1899 Hoffenheim
L W D W L
VfB Stuttgart
D L