1
27%
Home Win
3.68
X
23%
Draw
4.33
2
50%
Away Win
2.01
xG Home
1.28
xG Away
1.80
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
BTTS
60%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives 1899 Hoffenheim an expected 1.3 goals and Borussia Dortmund an expected 1.8 goals. 1899 Hoffenheim have a 27% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Borussia Dortmund at 50%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 59%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.6%
1:2
9.5%
0:1
8.3%
0:2
7.5%
2:1
6.8%
2:2
6.1%
1:0
5.9%
1:3
5.7%
0:0
4.6%
0:3
4.5%
2:0
3.7%
2:3
3.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Borussia Dortmund Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| 1899 Hoffenheim | Borussia Dortmund | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | League Position | 2 |
| 61 | Points | 73 |
| 53% | Win % | 65% |
| 1.91 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.06 |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
Venue Form
1899 Hoffenheim at Home
W2
D1
L1
(4 games)
Borussia Dortmund Away
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
1899 Hoffenheim
W
D
W
L
Borussia Dortmund
L
L
W
