1
66%
Home Win
1.52
X
20%
Draw
4.91
2
14%
Away Win
7.27
xG Home
2.01
xG Away
0.79
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
BTTS
47%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Zenit Saint Petersburg an expected 2.0 goals and Dinamo Moscow an expected 0.8 goals. Zenit Saint Petersburg have a 66% win probability, draw stands at 20%, and Dinamo Moscow at 14%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
12.3%
1:0
12.3%
2:1
9.7%
1:1
9.7%
3:0
8.2%
3:1
6.5%
0:0
6.1%
0:1
4.8%
4:0
4.1%
2:2
3.8%
1:2
3.8%
4:1
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Zenit Saint Petersburg Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 66% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.52 |
| Market Odds | 1.61 |
Team Comparison
| Zenit Saint Petersburg | Dinamo Moscow | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 7 |
| 68 | Points | 45 |
| 67% | Win % | 40% |
| 1.77 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.7 |
| 0.63 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |
