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Krasnodar vs CSKA Moscow — Prediction

1 – 0
Most likely score (model)
Sat, 07 Nov 2026 · Russian Premier League
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
7 Nov 2026, 16:30 UTC
Competition
Russian Premier League
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Krasnodar
  • Rodina Moskva 2–1 Krasnodar
  • Krasnodar 1–1 Baltika
  • Lokomotiv Moscow 3–3 Krasnodar
  • Krasnodar 0–1 Akron
  • Krylya Sovetov 2–2 Krasnodar
CSKA Moscow
  • Orenburg 0–0 CSKA Moscow
  • CSKA Moscow 2–0 Spartak Moscow
  • Dinamo Moscow 3–1 CSKA Moscow
  • CSKA Moscow 1–1 Rubin
  • Zenit Saint Petersburg 1–2 CSKA Moscow
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Krasnodar 30 · CSKA Moscow 30. Data saved: 2026-11-06 02:00 UTC.

The season of the saved table is not identified; these figures must not be read as current-season totals.

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Krasnodar 57% · 2026-11-06 01:10 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 1.87
Model goal expectation · 2 0.82
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
BTTS 47%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Krasnodar 1.87 · CSKA Moscow 0.82.
1 62% · X 22% · 2 16%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 12.7%
2:0 11.9%
1:1 10.4%
2:1 9.7%
3:0 7.4%
0:0 6.8%
3:1 6.1%
0:1 5.6%
1:2 4.3%
2:2 4%
4:0 3.5%
4:1 2.8%

About this assessment

Model outcome Krasnodar Win
Probability 62%
Predicted Odds 1.61

Team Comparison

Krasnodar CSKA Moscow
2 League Position 5
66 Points 51
67% Win % 50%
2 Avg Goals Scored 1.47
0.77 Avg Goals Conceded 1.1

Venue Form

Krasnodar at Home
W0 D1 L1 (2 games)
0% win rate
CSKA Moscow Away
W1 D1 L1 (3 games)
33% win rate

Recent Form

Krasnodar
L D D L D
CSKA Moscow
D W L D W

Read the forecast alongside the match

A practical guide to the information shown here.

01

Read the selected market

A match-winner selection and a goal total answer different questions. Read the outcome before comparing percentages.

02

Check the recording time

A saved estimate belongs to its recording time. Check kickoff and the available match context separately.

03

Inspect comparable outcomes

Use a defined period, sample and market when comparing results. A probability is not a historical hit rate.

Inspect the prediction record →

Continue the match analysis

Useful next steps within VARiM.

Questions about this context

Answers to help interpret the available information.

Are these probabilities a guarantee?

No. A probability describes a model estimate for a particular selection and recording time; the actual match can finish differently.

Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

Only relevant fixtures with a verified saved record are shown. The match and prediction catalogues may contain other available information.