Zaglebie Lubin vs Korona Kielce — Prediction

1 – 0
Most likely score (model)
Mon, 02 Nov 2026 · Ekstraklasa
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
2 Nov 2026, 17:00 UTC
Competition
Ekstraklasa
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Zaglebie Lubin
  • Motor Lublin 2–2 Zaglebie Lubin
  • Zaglebie Lubin 0–2 Wisla Plock
  • Zaglebie Lubin 1–0 GKS Katowice
  • Wieczysta Kraków 1–1 Zaglebie Lubin
  • Raków Częstochowa 2–3 Zaglebie Lubin
Korona Kielce
  • Korona Kielce 1–0 GKS Katowice
  • Korona Kielce 3–2 Raków Częstochowa
  • Śląsk Wrocław 1–2 Korona Kielce
  • Korona Kielce 1–1 Wisla Krakow
  • Korona Kielce 0–2 Gornik Zabrze
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Zaglebie Lubin 34 · Korona Kielce 34. Data saved: 2026-11-02 00:00 UTC.

Table season: 2025

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Zaglebie Lubin 46% · 2026-11-02 02:30 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 1.23
Model goal expectation · 2 0.89
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
BTTS 42%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Zaglebie Lubin 1.23 · Korona Kielce 0.89.
1 44% · X 29% · 2 27%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 14.8%
1:1 13.1%
0:0 12%
0:1 10.7%
2:0 9.1%
2:1 8.1%
1:2 5.8%
0:2 4.8%
3:0 3.7%
2:2 3.6%
3:1 3.3%
1:3 1.7%

About this assessment

Model outcome Zaglebie Lubin Win
Probability 44%
Predicted Odds 2.27

Team Comparison

Zaglebie Lubin Korona Kielce
7 League Position 11
48 Points 43
38% Win % 32%
1.32 Avg Goals Scored 1.18
1.12 Avg Goals Conceded 1.18

Venue Form

Zaglebie Lubin at Home
W1 D0 L1 (2 games)
50% win rate
Korona Kielce Away
W1 D0 L0 (1 games)
100% win rate

Recent Form

Zaglebie Lubin
D L W D W
Korona Kielce
W W W D L