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Raków Częstochowa vs Pogoń Szczecin — Prediction

Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa
1 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Mon, 02 Nov 2026 · Ekstraklasa
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
Pogoń Szczecin Pogoń Szczecin

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
2 Nov 2026, 19:30 UTC
Competition
Ekstraklasa
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Raków Częstochowa
  • Wisla Krakow 2–1 Raków Częstochowa
  • Korona Kielce 3–2 Raków Częstochowa
  • Raków Częstochowa 2–1 Motor Lublin
  • Lech Poznan 1–0 Raków Częstochowa
  • Raków Częstochowa 2–3 Zaglebie Lubin
Pogoń Szczecin
  • Pogoń Szczecin 4–3 Radomiak Radom
  • Piast Gliwice 1–2 Pogoń Szczecin
  • Pogoń Szczecin 2–0 Wieczysta Kraków
  • Pogoń Szczecin 1–1 Wisla Plock
  • Pogoń Szczecin 0–1 Legia Warszawa
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Raków Częstochowa 34 · Pogoń Szczecin 34. Data saved: 2026-11-02 00:00 UTC.

Table season: 2025

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Raków Częstochowa 47% · 2026-11-02 02:30 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

1 52%
Home Win 1.94
X 24%
Draw 4.18
2 25%
Away Win 4.08
Model goal expectation · 1 1.71
Model goal expectation · 2 1.10
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
BTTS 55%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Raków Częstochowa 1.71 · Pogoń Szczecin 1.10.
1 52% · X 24% · 2 25%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 11.3%
1:0 10.3%
2:1 9.7%
2:0 8.8%
0:1 6.6%
1:2 6.2%
0:0 6%
3:1 5.5%
2:2 5.3%
3:0 5%
0:2 3.7%
3:2 3%

About this assessment

Model outcome Raków Częstochowa Win
Probability 52%
Predicted Odds 1.92

Team Comparison

Raków Częstochowa Pogoń Szczecin
4 League Position 9
55 Points 45
47% Win % 38%
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.38
1.18 Avg Goals Conceded 1.44

Venue Form

Raków Częstochowa at Home
W1 D0 L1 (2 games)
50% win rate
Pogoń Szczecin Away
W1 D0 L0 (1 games)
100% win rate

Recent Form

Raków Częstochowa
L L W L L
Pogoń Szczecin
W W W D L

More Ekstraklasa Predictions

Radomiak Radom vs Śląsk Wrocław
Mon 02 Nov Tip: 1 · 46%
Zaglebie Lubin vs Korona Kielce
Mon 02 Nov Tip: 1 · 44%