1
48%
Home Win
2.07
X
25%
Draw
4.03
2
27%
Away Win
3.73
xG Home
1.61
xG Away
1.13
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
BTTS
54%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Yunnan Yukun an expected 1.6 goals and Henan FC an expected 1.1 goals. Yunnan Yukun have a 48% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Henan FC at 27%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 52%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.8%
1:0
10.4%
2:1
9.4%
2:0
8.4%
0:1
7.3%
1:2
6.6%
0:0
6.5%
2:2
5.3%
3:1
5.1%
3:0
4.5%
0:2
4.1%
3:2
2.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Henan FC Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Yunnan Yukun | Henan FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | League Position | 13 |
| 21 | Points | 15 |
| 38% | Win % | 38% |
| 1.81 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.06 |
| 1.75 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.25 |
Head to Head
Henan Jianye
2 : 1
Yunnan Yukun
L
Henan Jianye
1 : 1
Yunnan Yukun
D
Yunnan Yukun
2 : 1
Henan Jianye
L