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Beijing Guoan vs Chongqing Tongliang Long — Prediction

1 – 0
Most likely score (model)
Sun, 08 Nov 2026 · Super League
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
8 Nov 2026, 07:30 UTC
Competition
Super League
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Beijing Guoan
  • Henan FC 3–4 Beijing Guoan
  • Beijing Guoan 1–0 Qingdao Youth Island
  • SHANGHAI SIPG 0–0 Beijing Guoan
  • Beijing Guoan 2–1 Zhejiang Professional
  • Chengdu Rongcheng 2–2 Beijing Guoan
Chongqing Tongliang Long
  • Chongqing Tongliang Long 2–0 Qingdao Jonoon
  • Chongqing Tongliang Long 1–1 Shandong Taishan
  • Chongqing Tongliang Long 1–3 Shanghai Shenhua
  • Sichuan Jiuniu 2–0 Chongqing Tongliang Long
  • Wuhan Three Towns 1–0 Chongqing Tongliang Long
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Beijing Guoan 29 · Chongqing Tongliang Long 29. Data saved: 2026-11-07 06:00 UTC.

The season of the saved table is not identified; these figures must not be read as current-season totals.

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Beijing Guoan 65% · 2026-11-07 04:40 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 1.58
Model goal expectation · 2 0.78
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
BTTS 43%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Beijing Guoan 1.58 · Chongqing Tongliang Long 0.78.
1 56% · X 25% · 2 18%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 14.9%
2:0 11.8%
1:1 11.6%
0:0 9.4%
2:1 9.2%
0:1 7.4%
3:0 6.2%
3:1 4.9%
1:2 4.5%
2:2 3.6%
0:2 2.9%
4:0 2.5%

About this assessment

Model outcome Beijing Guoan Win
Probability 56%
Predicted Odds 1.79

Team Comparison

Beijing Guoan Chongqing Tongliang Long
3 League Position 9
47 Points 36
48% Win % 28%
1.97 Avg Goals Scored 1.07
1.24 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17

Venue Form

Beijing Guoan at Home
W2 D0 L0 (2 games)
100% win rate
Chongqing Tongliang Long Away
W0 D0 L2 (2 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Beijing Guoan
W W D W D
Chongqing Tongliang Long
W D L L L

Head to Head

30 May 2026 chinese_super
Chongqing Tongliang Long 2 : 3 Beijing Guoan
W

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01

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02

Check the recording time

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03

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Questions about this context

Answers to help interpret the available information.

Are these probabilities a guarantee?

No. A probability describes a model estimate for a particular selection and recording time; the actual match can finish differently.

Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

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