1
49%
Home Win
2.03
X
25%
Draw
3.96
2
25%
Away Win
3.94
xG Home
1.57
xG Away
1.05
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
BTTS
51%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Wrexham an expected 1.6 goals and West Brom an expected 1.0 goals. Wrexham have a 49% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and West Brom at 25%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12%
1:0
11.5%
2:1
9.4%
2:0
9%
0:1
7.7%
0:0
7.3%
1:2
6.3%
2:2
4.9%
3:1
4.9%
3:0
4.7%
0:2
4%
3:2
2.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Wrexham Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 49% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.04 |
| Market Odds | 2.17 |
Team Comparison
| Wrexham | West Brom | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | League Position | 21 |
| 71 | Points | 51 |
| 41% | Win % | 28% |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.04 |
| 1.41 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.26 |
Venue Form
Wrexham at Home
W2
D2
L0
(4 games)
West Brom Away
W2
D1
L2
(5 games)
Recent Form
Wrexham
W
D
D
W
West Brom
L
W
L
W
D
