1
32%
Home Win
3.13
X
29%
Draw
3.41
2
39%
Away Win
2.58
xG Home
1.02
xG Away
1.15
Over 2.5 Goals
37%
BTTS
44%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Charlton an expected 1.0 goals and Bristol City an expected 1.1 goals. Charlton have a 32% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and Bristol City at 39%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 63%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13.4%
0:1
13.2%
1:0
11.7%
0:0
11.5%
1:2
7.7%
0:2
7.6%
2:1
6.8%
2:0
5.9%
2:2
3.9%
1:3
3%
0:3
2.9%
3:1
2.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Bristol City Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 39% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.56 |
| Market Odds | 2.73 |
Team Comparison
| Charlton | Bristol City | |
|---|---|---|
| 19 | League Position | 12 |
| 53 | Points | 62 |
| 28% | Win % | 37% |
| 0.96 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.28 |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.28 |
Venue Form
Charlton at Home
W1
D2
L1
(4 games)
Bristol City Away
W1
D1
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
Charlton
D
D
W
L
Bristol City
L
W
L
D
