1
40%
Home Win
2.47
X
29%
Draw
3.51
2
31%
Away Win
3.22
xG Home
1.22
xG Away
1.03
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
BTTS
45%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives West Brom an expected 1.2 goals and Watford an expected 1.0 goals. West Brom have a 40% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and Watford at 31%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 61%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13.2%
1:0
12.8%
0:1
10.8%
0:0
10.5%
2:1
8.1%
2:0
7.8%
1:2
6.8%
0:2
5.6%
2:2
4.2%
3:1
3.3%
3:0
3.2%
1:3
2.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | West Brom Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 40% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.5 |
| Market Odds | 2.66 |
Team Comparison
| West Brom | Watford | |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | League Position | 16 |
| 51 | Points | 57 |
| 28% | Win % | 30% |
| 1.04 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.15 |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.41 |
Venue Form
West Brom at Home
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Watford Away
W0
D0
L3
(3 games)
Recent Form
West Brom
D
W
Watford
L
L
L
