1
34%
Home Win
2.96
X
29%
Draw
3.4
2
37%
Away Win
2.72
xG Home
1.05
xG Away
1.11
Over 2.5 Goals
37%
BTTS
44%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives West Brom an expected 1.1 goals and Birmingham an expected 1.1 goals. West Brom have a 34% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and Birmingham at 37%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 63%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13.4%
0:1
12.8%
1:0
12.1%
0:0
11.5%
1:2
7.5%
0:2
7.1%
2:1
7.1%
2:0
6.4%
2:2
3.9%
1:3
2.8%
0:3
2.6%
3:1
2.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Birmingham Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 37% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.7 |
| Market Odds | 2.88 |
Team Comparison
| West Brom | Birmingham | |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | League Position | 10 |
| 51 | Points | 64 |
| 28% | Win % | 37% |
| 1.04 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.24 |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.22 |
Venue Form
West Brom at Home
W2
D2
L0
(4 games)
Birmingham Away
W1
D2
L1
(4 games)
Recent Form
West Brom
D
W
D
W
Birmingham
W
L
D
D
