1
36%
Home Win
2.77
X
26%
Draw
3.82
2
38%
Away Win
2.65
xG Home
1.30
xG Away
1.34
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
BTTS
54%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Werder Bremen an expected 1.3 goals and FC Augsburg an expected 1.3 goals. Werder Bremen have a 36% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and FC Augsburg at 38%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.4%
0:1
9.5%
1:0
9.3%
1:2
8.3%
2:1
8.1%
0:0
7.1%
0:2
6.4%
2:0
6.1%
2:2
5.4%
1:3
3.7%
3:1
3.5%
0:3
2.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FC Augsburg Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 38% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.63 |
| Market Odds | 2.8 |
Team Comparison
| Werder Bremen | FC Augsburg | |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | League Position | 9 |
| 32 | Points | 43 |
| 24% | Win % | 35% |
| 1.09 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.32 |
| 1.76 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.79 |
Venue Form
Werder Bremen at Home
W2
D0
L1
(3 games)
FC Augsburg Away
W3
D0
L1
(4 games)
Recent Form
Werder Bremen
W
L
W
FC Augsburg
W
W
W
L
