1
39%
Home Win
2.59
X
27%
Draw
3.7
2
34%
Away Win
2.91
xG Home
1.29
xG Away
1.20
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
BTTS
51%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Watford an expected 1.3 goals and Preston an expected 1.2 goals. Watford have a 39% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Preston at 34%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.8%
1:0
10.7%
0:1
10%
0:0
8.3%
2:1
8.3%
1:2
7.7%
2:0
6.9%
0:2
6%
2:2
5%
3:1
3.5%
1:3
3.1%
3:0
3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Watford Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 39% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.56 |
| Market Odds | 2.73 |
Team Comparison
| Watford | Preston | |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | League Position | 14 |
| 57 | Points | 60 |
| 30% | Win % | 33% |
| 1.15 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.2 |
| 1.41 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.35 |
Venue Form
Watford at Home
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Preston Away
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Watford
L
L
Preston
W
L
