VARiM
EN
Display
Site layout

Vitoria vs Fluminense — Prediction

Vitoria Vitoria
0 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Fri, 06 Nov 2026 · Brasileirão
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
Fluminense Fluminense

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
6 Nov 2026, 23:00 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Vitoria
  • Coritiba 2–0 Vitoria
  • Vitoria 1–1 Athletico Paranaense
  • Corinthians 1–1 Vitoria
  • Vitoria 1–0 Cruzeiro
  • Mirassol 0–2 Vitoria
Fluminense
  • Fluminense 0–1 Internacional
  • Chapecoense 2–1 Fluminense
  • Fluminense 1–2 Santos
  • Corinthians 0–1 Fluminense
  • Fluminense 2–0 Platense
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Vitoria 38 · Fluminense 38. Data saved: 2026-11-03 23:30 UTC.

Table season: 2025

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Fluminense 40% · 2026-11-05 00:10 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 0.81
Model goal expectation · 2 1.32
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
BTTS 41%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Vitoria 0.81 · Fluminense 1.32.
1 23% · X 28% · 2 49%.

Correct Score Predictions

0:1 15.7%
1:1 12.7%
0:0 11.9%
0:2 10.4%
1:0 9.6%
1:2 8.4%
2:1 5.1%
0:3 4.6%
2:0 3.9%
1:3 3.7%
2:2 3.4%
0:4 1.5%

About this assessment

Model outcome Fluminense Win
Probability 49%
Predicted Odds 2.04

Team Comparison

Vitoria Fluminense
15 League Position 5
45 Points 64
29% Win % 50%
0.92 Avg Goals Scored 1.32
1.37 Avg Goals Conceded 1.03

Venue Form

Vitoria at Home
W1 D1 L0 (2 games)
50% win rate
Fluminense Away
W1 D0 L1 (2 games)
50% win rate

Recent Form

Vitoria
L D D W W
Fluminense
L L L W W

Head to Head

09 May 2026 brasileirao
Fluminense 2 : 2 Vitoria
D

More Brasileirão Predictions

Palmeiras vs Remo
Thu 05 Nov
Cruzeiro vs Bahia
Fri 06 Nov Tip: 1 · 54%