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Cruzeiro vs Bahia — Prediction

Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
1 – 0
Most likely score (model)
Fri, 06 Nov 2026 · Brasileirão
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
Bahia Bahia

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
6 Nov 2026, 00:30 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Cruzeiro
  • Atletico-MG 0–1 Cruzeiro
  • Cruzeiro 1–0 Remo
  • Gremio 2–4 Cruzeiro
  • Vitoria 1–0 Cruzeiro
  • Santos 2–1 Cruzeiro
Bahia
  • Bahia 3–2 São Paulo FC
  • Santos 1–1 Bahia
  • Bahia 0–3 Flamengo
  • Bahia 1–0 Remo
  • RB Bragantino 2–3 Bahia
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Cruzeiro 38 · Bahia 38. Data saved: 2026-11-03 23:30 UTC.

Table season: 2025

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Cruzeiro 47% · 2026-11-05 00:10 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 1.50
Model goal expectation · 2 0.79
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
BTTS 42%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Cruzeiro 1.50 · Bahia 0.79.
1 54% · X 26% · 2 20%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 15.2%
1:1 12%
2:0 11.4%
0:0 10.2%
2:1 9%
0:1 8%
3:0 5.7%
1:2 4.7%
3:1 4.5%
2:2 3.5%
0:2 3.1%
4:0 2.1%

About this assessment

Model outcome Cruzeiro Win
Probability 54%
Predicted Odds 1.85

Team Comparison

Cruzeiro Bahia
3 League Position 7
70 Points 60
50% Win % 45%
1.45 Avg Goals Scored 1.32
0.82 Avg Goals Conceded 1.21

Venue Form

Cruzeiro at Home
W1 D0 L0 (1 games)
100% win rate
Bahia Away
W1 D1 L0 (2 games)
50% win rate

Recent Form

Cruzeiro
W W W L L
Bahia
W D L W W

Head to Head

10 May 2026 brasileirao
Bahia 1 : 2 Cruzeiro
W

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