1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
2.10
xG Away
1.17
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
BTTS
60%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Viking an expected 2.1 goals and Tromsø IL an expected 1.2 goals. Viking have a 59% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and Tromsø IL at 21%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 63%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:1
9.8%
1:1
9.4%
2:0
8.4%
1:0
8%
3:1
6.9%
3:0
5.9%
2:2
5.7%
1:2
5.5%
0:1
4.5%
3:2
4%
0:0
3.8%
4:1
3.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Viking Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 59% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.69 |
| Market Odds | 1.8 |
Team Comparison
| Viking | Tromsø IL | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 3 |
| 71 | Points | 57 |
| 73% | Win % | 60% |
| 2.57 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.67 |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.2 |
Venue Form
Viking at Home
W5
D0
L0
(5 games)
Tromsø IL Away
W3
D1
L1
(5 games)
Recent Form
Viking
W
W
W
W
W
Tromsø IL
L
W
W
D
W