Viking vs Tromsø IL Prediction

2 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sun, 25 Oct 2026 · Eliteserien
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 2.10
xG Away 1.17
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
BTTS 60%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Viking an expected 2.1 goals and Tromsø IL an expected 1.2 goals. Viking have a 59% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and Tromsø IL at 21%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 63%.

Correct Score Predictions

2:1 9.8%
1:1 9.4%
2:0 8.4%
1:0 8%
3:1 6.9%
3:0 5.9%
2:2 5.7%
1:2 5.5%
0:1 4.5%
3:2 4%
0:0 3.8%
4:1 3.6%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Viking Win
Probability 59%
Predicted Odds 1.69
Market Odds 1.8

Team Comparison

Viking Tromsø IL
1 League Position 3
71 Points 57
73% Win % 60%
2.57 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.2

Venue Form

Viking at Home
W5 D0 L0 (5 games)
100% win rate
Tromsø IL Away
W3 D1 L1 (5 games)
60% win rate

Recent Form

Viking
W W W W W
Tromsø IL
L W W D W