1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.22
xG Away
1.03
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
BTTS
45%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Molde an expected 1.2 goals and Fredrikstad an expected 1.0 goals. Molde have a 40% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and Fredrikstad at 31%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 61%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13.2%
1:0
12.8%
0:1
10.9%
0:0
10.5%
2:1
8.1%
2:0
7.8%
1:2
6.9%
0:2
5.6%
2:2
4.2%
3:1
3.3%
3:0
3.2%
1:3
2.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Molde Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 40% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.5 |
| Market Odds | 2.66 |
Team Comparison
| Molde | Fredrikstad | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | League Position | 8 |
| 39 | Points | 42 |
| 40% | Win % | 37% |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.27 |
| 1.4 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.17 |
Venue Form
Molde at Home
W3
D1
L1
(5 games)
Fredrikstad Away
W0
D1
L5
(6 games)
Recent Form
Molde
W
D
L
W
W
Fredrikstad
D
L
L
L
L
