1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
2.04
xG Away
0.89
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
BTTS
51%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Viking an expected 2.0 goals and Fredrikstad an expected 0.9 goals. Viking have a 64% win probability, draw stands at 20%, and Fredrikstad at 15%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 56%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
11.1%
1:0
10.9%
2:1
9.9%
1:1
9.7%
3:0
7.6%
3:1
6.7%
0:0
5.4%
0:1
4.8%
2:2
4.4%
1:2
4.3%
4:0
3.9%
4:1
3.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Viking Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 64% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.56 |
| Market Odds | 1.66 |
Team Comparison
| Viking | Fredrikstad | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 8 |
| 71 | Points | 42 |
| 73% | Win % | 37% |
| 2.57 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.27 |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.17 |
Venue Form
Viking at Home
W5
D0
L0
(5 games)
Fredrikstad Away
W0
D1
L5
(6 games)
Recent Form
Viking
W
W
W
W
W
Fredrikstad
D
L
L
L
L
