1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.51
xG Away
1.21
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
BTTS
55%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Viborg an expected 1.5 goals and Sonderjyske an expected 1.2 goals. Viborg have a 44% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Sonderjyske at 30%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12%
1:0
9.9%
2:1
9.1%
0:1
8%
2:0
7.5%
1:2
7.3%
0:0
6.6%
2:2
5.5%
0:2
4.8%
3:1
4.6%
3:0
3.8%
1:3
2.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Viborg Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 44% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.27 |
| Market Odds | 2.42 |
Team Comparison
| Viborg | Sonderjyske | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | League Position | 6 |
| 44 | Points | 44 |
| 41% | Win % | 38% |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.38 |
| 1.59 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.53 |
Venue Form
Viborg at Home
W3
D0
L2
(5 games)
Sonderjyske Away
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Viborg
W
W
L
W
L
Sonderjyske
D
W
L