1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.71
xG Away
1.27
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
BTTS
59%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Vålerenga an expected 1.7 goals and Aalesund an expected 1.3 goals. Vålerenga have a 48% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Aalesund at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 57%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11%
2:1
9.4%
1:0
8.7%
2:0
7.4%
1:2
7%
0:1
6.4%
2:2
6%
3:1
5.4%
0:0
5.1%
3:0
4.2%
0:2
4.1%
3:2
3.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Vålerenga Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 35% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.86 |
| Market Odds | 3.04 |
Venue Form
Vålerenga at Home
W0
D2
L2
(4 games)
Aalesund Away
W0
D0
L3
(3 games)
Recent Form
Vålerenga
D
L
D
L
Aalesund
L
L
L
Head to Head
Valerenga
4 : 1
Aalesund
L
Aalesund
0 : 2
Valerenga
W
Valerenga
3 : 1
Aalesund
L
