U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs León FC Prediction

2 – 0
Most Likely Score
Fri, 11 Sep 2026 · Liga MX
Match Statistics & H2H
1 79%
Home Win 1.26
X 13%
Draw 7.97
2 8%
Away Win 12.55

Match Stats & Prediction

xG Home 2.97
xG Away 0.88
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
BTTS 55%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives U.N.A.M. - Pumas an expected 3.0 goals and León FC an expected 0.9 goals. U.N.A.M. - Pumas have a 79% win probability, draw stands at 13%, and León FC at 8%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0 (~9% probability). Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 73%.

1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas
79% confidence
Fair odds: 1.26

Team Comparison

U.N.A.M. - Pumas León FC
1 League Position 10
36 Points 22
59% Win % 41%
2 Avg Goals Scored 1.29
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.88

Recent Form

U.N.A.M. - Pumas
W
León FC
L

Correct Score Predictions

2:0 9.4%
3:0 9.3%
2:1 8.3%
3:1 8.2%
4:0 6.9%
1:0 6.4%
4:1 6.1%
1:1 5.6%
2:2 3.6%
3:2 3.6%
4:2 2.7%
1:2 2.4%