1
48%
Home Win
2.1
X
24%
Draw
4.15
2
28%
Away Win
3.54
xG Home
1.67
xG Away
1.23
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
BTTS
58%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives U.N.A.M. - Pumas an expected 1.7 goals and Cruz Azul an expected 1.2 goals. U.N.A.M. - Pumas have a 48% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Cruz Azul at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.3%
2:1
9.4%
1:0
9.2%
2:0
7.6%
1:2
7%
0:1
6.8%
2:2
5.8%
0:0
5.5%
3:1
5.3%
3:0
4.3%
0:2
4.2%
3:2
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Cruz Azul Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| U.N.A.M. - Pumas | Cruz Azul | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 3 |
| 36 | Points | 33 |
| 59% | Win % | 53% |
| 2 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.82 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.06 |
Venue Form
U.N.A.M. - Pumas at Home
W2
D1
L1
(4 games)
Cruz Azul Away
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
L
W
D
W
Cruz Azul
W
W
D
Head to Head
Cruz Azul
0 : 0
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
D
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2 : 2
Cruz Azul
D
Cruz Azul
2 : 3
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
W
