Pachuca vs Tigres UANL — Prediction

1 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Sat, 31 Oct 2026 · Liga MX
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
31 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC
Competition
Liga MX
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Pachuca
  • Club América 1–2 Pachuca
  • Santos Laguna 1–0 Pachuca
  • Pachuca 2–2 Club Tijuana
  • Atlante FC 0–3 Pachuca
  • FC Juarez 0–2 Pachuca
Tigres UANL
  • U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1–1 Tigres UANL
  • Tigres UANL 1–0 Puebla
  • FC Juarez 2–0 Tigres UANL
  • Monterrey 0–0 Tigres UANL
  • Tigres UANL 1–1 Necaxa
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Pachuca 17 · Tigres UANL 17. Data saved: 2026-10-31 00:50 UTC.

Table season: 2025

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Pachuca 41% · 2026-10-31 02:30 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 1.23
Model goal expectation · 2 1.24
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
BTTS 50%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Pachuca 1.23 · Tigres UANL 1.24.
1 36% · X 27% · 2 37%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.9%
0:1 10.5%
1:0 10.4%
0:0 8.4%
1:2 8%
2:1 7.9%
0:2 6.5%
2:0 6.4%
2:2 4.9%
1:3 3.3%
3:1 3.2%
0:3 2.7%

About this assessment

Model outcome Tigres UANL Win
Probability 37%
Predicted Odds 2.7

Team Comparison

Pachuca Tigres UANL
4 League Position 7
31 Points 25
53% Win % 41%
1.47 Avg Goals Scored 1.65
1.12 Avg Goals Conceded 1.06

Venue Form

Pachuca at Home
W0 D1 L0 (1 games)
0% win rate
Tigres UANL Away
W0 D2 L1 (3 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Pachuca
W L D W W
Tigres UANL
D W L D D