1
54%
Home Win
1.86
X
23%
Draw
4.36
2
23%
Away Win
4.3
xG Home
1.82
xG Away
1.12
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
BTTS
56%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Ulsan Hyundai FC an expected 1.8 goals and Gimcheon Sangmu FC an expected 1.1 goals. Ulsan Hyundai FC have a 54% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Gimcheon Sangmu FC at 23%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 56%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.8%
2:1
9.8%
1:0
9.6%
2:0
8.8%
1:2
6%
3:1
6%
0:1
5.9%
2:2
5.5%
3:0
5.3%
0:0
5.3%
3:2
3.3%
0:2
3.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Ulsan Hyundai FC Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 54% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.85 |
| Market Odds | 1.97 |
Team Comparison
| Ulsan Hyundai FC | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | League Position | 11 |
| 28 | Points | 17 |
| 42% | Win % | 11% |
| 1.42 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.95 |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.37 |
Venue Form
Ulsan Hyundai FC at Home
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Gimcheon Sangmu FC Away
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Ulsan Hyundai FC
L
L
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
D
L
