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Jeju United FC vs Gwangju FC — Prediction

2 – 0
Most likely score (model)
Sat, 07 Nov 2026 · K League 1
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
7 Nov 2026, 05:00 UTC
Competition
K League 1
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Jeju United FC
  • Incheon United 3–1 Jeju United FC
  • Jeonbuk Motors 3–2 Jeju United FC
  • Gangwon FC 0–1 Jeju United FC
  • Bucheon FC 1995 2–2 Jeju United FC
  • Gwangju FC 0–1 Jeju United FC
Gwangju FC
  • Gwangju FC 1–1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC
  • Bucheon FC 1995 0–3 Gwangju FC
  • Daejeon Hana Citizen 3–2 Gwangju FC
  • Jeonbuk Motors 2–2 Gwangju FC
  • Gwangju FC 1–1 FC Anyang
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Jeju United FC 33 · Gwangju FC 33. Data saved: 2026-11-06 04:00 UTC.

The season of the saved table is not identified; these figures must not be read as current-season totals.

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Jeju United FC 48% · 2026-11-06 03:10 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 2.13
Model goal expectation · 2 0.75
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
BTTS 47%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Jeju United FC 2.13 · Gwangju FC 0.75.
1 69% · X 19% · 2 12%.

Correct Score Predictions

2:0 12.7%
1:0 11.9%
2:1 9.6%
3:0 9%
1:1 9%
3:1 6.8%
0:0 5.6%
4:0 4.8%
0:1 4.2%
4:1 3.6%
2:2 3.6%
1:2 3.4%

About this assessment

Model outcome Jeju United FC Win
Probability 69%
Predicted Odds 1.45

Team Comparison

Jeju United FC Gwangju FC
7 League Position 12
46 Points 21
36% Win % 9%
1.18 Avg Goals Scored 0.91
1.12 Avg Goals Conceded 2.09

Venue Form

Gwangju FC Away
W1 D1 L1 (3 games)
33% win rate

Recent Form

Jeju United FC
L L W D W
Gwangju FC
D W L D D

Head to Head

09 Sep 2026 k_league
Gwangju FC 0 : 1 Jeju United FC
W
26 Jul 2026 k_league
Gwangju FC 1 : 2 Jeju United FC
W

Read the forecast alongside the match

A practical guide to the information shown here.

01

Read the selected market

A match-winner selection and a goal total answer different questions. Read the outcome before comparing percentages.

02

Check the recording time

A saved estimate belongs to its recording time. Check kickoff and the available match context separately.

03

Inspect comparable outcomes

Use a defined period, sample and market when comparing results. A probability is not a historical hit rate.

Inspect the prediction record →

Continue the match analysis

Useful next steps within VARiM.

Questions about this context

Answers to help interpret the available information.

Are these probabilities a guarantee?

No. A probability describes a model estimate for a particular selection and recording time; the actual match can finish differently.

Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

Only relevant fixtures with a verified saved record are shown. The match and prediction catalogues may contain other available information.