Tigres UANL vs Atletico San Luis Prediction

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2 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sun, 26 Jul 2026 · Liga MX
1 62%
Home Win 1.62
X 21%
Draw 4.85
2 18%
Away Win 5.64
xG Home 2.06
xG Away 1.01
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
BTTS 56%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Tigres UANL an expected 2.1 goals and Atletico San Luis an expected 1.0 goals. Tigres UANL have a 62% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and Atletico San Luis at 18%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 59%.

Correct Score Predictions

2:1 9.9%
2:0 9.8%
1:1 9.6%
1:0 9.5%
3:1 6.8%
3:0 6.8%
2:2 5%
1:2 4.9%
0:1 4.7%
0:0 4.6%
4:1 3.5%
4:0 3.5%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Tigres UANL Win
Probability 35%
Predicted Odds 2.86
Market Odds 3.04

Team Comparison

Tigres UANL Atletico San Luis
7 League Position 14
25 Points 18
41% Win % 29%
1.65 Avg Goals Scored 1.41
1.06 Avg Goals Conceded 1.59

Venue Form

Tigres UANL at Home
W2 D0 L0 (2 games)
100% win rate
Atletico San Luis Away
W1 D0 L1 (2 games)
50% win rate

Recent Form

Tigres UANL
W W
Atletico San Luis
L W

Head to Head

12 Jan 2026 Liga MX
Atletico San Luis 1 : 2 Tigres UANL
W
08 Nov 2025 Liga MX
Tigres UANL 3 : 1 Atletico San Luis
L
11 Jan 2025 Liga MX
Atletico San Luis 1 : 3 Tigres UANL
W