1
37%
Home Win
2.7
X
32%
Draw
3.14
2
31%
Away Win
3.21
xG Home
1.00
xG Away
0.89
Over 2.5 Goals
29%
BTTS
37%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Tigre an expected 1.0 goals and Barracas Central an expected 0.9 goals. Tigre have a 37% win probability, draw stands at 32%, and Barracas Central at 31%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 71%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:0
15.1%
1:0
15.1%
0:1
13.4%
1:1
13.4%
2:0
7.6%
2:1
6.7%
0:2
6%
1:2
6%
2:2
3%
3:0
2.5%
3:1
2.2%
0:3
1.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Tigre Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 37% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.7 |
| Market Odds | 2.88 |
Team Comparison
| Tigre | Barracas Central | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | League Position | 6 |
| 22 | Points | 23 |
| 31% | Win % | 31% |
| 0.88 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.19 |
| 0.81 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.06 |
Venue Form
Tigre at Home
W0
D1
L0
(1 games)
Barracas Central Away
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Tigre
D
Barracas Central
W
W
D
