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Boca Juniors vs Defensa y Justicia — Prediction

2 – 0
Most likely score (model)
Sat, 07 Nov 2026 · Liga Profesional
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
7 Nov 2026, 20:30 UTC
Competition
Liga Profesional
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Boca Juniors
  • Independiente 0–1 Boca Juniors
  • Boca Juniors 2–1 Talleres Córdoba
  • Boca Juniors 3–0 Unión Santa Fe
  • San Lorenzo de Almagro 0–0 Boca Juniors
  • Boca Juniors 3–1 Central Cordoba de Santiago
Defensa y Justicia
  • Defensa y Justicia 1–1 Independiente
  • Talleres Córdoba 1–2 Defensa y Justicia
  • Defensa y Justicia 0–1 Instituto Cordoba
  • Defensa y Justicia 3–0 San Lorenzo de Almagro
  • Central Cordoba de Santiago 1–2 Defensa y Justicia
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Boca Juniors 16 · Defensa y Justicia 16. Data saved: 2026-11-05 15:10 UTC.

Table season: 2025

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Boca Juniors 64% · 2026-11-06 00:50 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 2.24
Model goal expectation · 2 0.61
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
BTTS 41%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Boca Juniors 2.24 · Defensa y Justicia 0.61.
1 75% · X 17% · 2 9%.

Correct Score Predictions

2:0 14.6%
1:0 13.1%
3:0 10.9%
2:1 8.8%
1:1 7.9%
3:1 6.6%
4:0 6.1%
0:0 5.8%
4:1 3.7%
0:1 3.5%
2:2 2.7%
1:2 2.4%

About this assessment

Model outcome Boca Juniors Win
Probability 75%
Predicted Odds 1.33

Team Comparison

Boca Juniors Defensa y Justicia
1 League Position 12
29 Points 19
50% Win % 31%
1.75 Avg Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Avg Goals Conceded 1.19

Venue Form

Boca Juniors at Home
W3 D0 L0 (3 games)
100% win rate
Defensa y Justicia Away
W2 D0 L0 (2 games)
100% win rate

Recent Form

Boca Juniors
W W W D W
Defensa y Justicia
D W L W W

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01

Read the selected market

A match-winner selection and a goal total answer different questions. Read the outcome before comparing percentages.

02

Check the recording time

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03

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Use a defined period, sample and market when comparing results. A probability is not a historical hit rate.

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Questions about this context

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Are these probabilities a guarantee?

No. A probability describes a model estimate for a particular selection and recording time; the actual match can finish differently.

Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

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