1
37%
Home Win
2.74
X
27%
Draw
3.7
2
36%
Away Win
2.74
xG Home
1.25
xG Away
1.25
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
BTTS
51%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Swansea an expected 1.3 goals and Norwich City an expected 1.2 goals. Swansea have a 37% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Norwich City at 36%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 54%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.8%
1:0
10.3%
0:1
10.3%
0:0
8.2%
2:1
8%
1:2
8%
2:0
6.4%
0:2
6.4%
2:2
5%
3:1
3.3%
1:3
3.3%
3:0
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Swansea Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 37% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.7 |
| Market Odds | 2.88 |
Team Comparison
| Swansea | Norwich City | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 9 |
| 64 | Points | 65 |
| 39% | Win % | 41% |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.37 |
| 1.28 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.22 |
Venue Form
Swansea at Home
W2
D1
L1
(4 games)
Norwich City Away
W2
D1
L2
(5 games)
Recent Form
Swansea
W
D
W
L
Norwich City
L
W
L
W
D
