1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.91
xG Away
0.79
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
BTTS
47%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Sturm Graz an expected 1.9 goals and Grazer AK an expected 0.8 goals. Sturm Graz have a 64% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and Grazer AK at 15%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
12.8%
2:0
12.3%
1:1
10.1%
2:1
9.7%
3:0
7.8%
0:0
6.7%
3:1
6.2%
0:1
5.3%
1:2
4%
2:2
3.8%
4:0
3.7%
4:1
3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Sturm Graz Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 64% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.56 |
| Market Odds | 1.66 |
Team Comparison
| Sturm Graz | Grazer AK | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 11 |
| 38 | Points | 20 |
| 55% | Win % | 18% |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.64 |
Venue Form
Sturm Graz at Home
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Grazer AK Away
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Sturm Graz
W
Grazer AK
W
L
