1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.59
xG Away
0.93
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
BTTS
48%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Sturm Graz an expected 1.6 goals and Ried an expected 0.9 goals. Sturm Graz have a 53% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Ried at 22%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 54%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
12.7%
1:1
11.9%
2:0
10.1%
2:1
9.5%
0:0
8%
0:1
7.5%
1:2
5.5%
3:0
5.4%
3:1
5%
2:2
4.4%
0:2
3.5%
3:2
2.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Sturm Graz Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 53% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.89 |
| Market Odds | 2.01 |
Team Comparison
| Sturm Graz | Ried | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 9 |
| 38 | Points | 28 |
| 55% | Win % | 36% |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.18 |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.36 |
Venue Form
Sturm Graz at Home
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Ried Away
W0
D1
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
Sturm Graz
W
Ried
D
