1
43%
Home Win
2.3
X
30%
Draw
3.29
2
26%
Away Win
3.82
xG Home
1.16
xG Away
0.83
Over 2.5 Goals
32%
BTTS
39%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Stoke City an expected 1.2 goals and Charlton an expected 0.8 goals. Stoke City have a 43% win probability, draw stands at 30%, and Charlton at 26%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 68%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
15.9%
0:0
13.7%
1:1
13.2%
0:1
11.4%
2:0
9.2%
2:1
7.6%
1:2
5.4%
0:2
4.7%
3:0
3.6%
2:2
3.2%
3:1
2.9%
1:3
1.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Stoke City Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 43% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.33 |
| Market Odds | 2.47 |
Team Comparison
| Stoke City | Charlton | |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | League Position | 19 |
| 55 | Points | 53 |
| 33% | Win % | 28% |
| 1.11 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.96 |
| 1.22 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.26 |
Venue Form
Stoke City at Home
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Charlton Away
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Stoke City
L
L
Charlton
L
D
