1
19%
Home Win
5.33
X
24%
Draw
4.14
2
57%
Away Win
1.75
xG Home
0.84
xG Away
1.68
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
BTTS
46%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Spartak Moscow an expected 0.8 goals and Zenit Saint Petersburg an expected 1.7 goals. Spartak Moscow have a 19% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Zenit Saint Petersburg at 57%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 54%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
13.5%
1:1
11.4%
0:2
11.3%
1:2
9.5%
0:0
8%
1:0
6.8%
0:3
6.3%
1:3
5.3%
2:1
4.8%
2:2
4%
2:0
2.9%
0:4
2.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Zenit Saint Petersburg Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 57% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.75 |
| Market Odds | 1.87 |
Team Comparison
| Spartak Moscow | Zenit Saint Petersburg | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 1 |
| 52 | Points | 68 |
| 50% | Win % | 67% |
| 1.57 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.77 |
| 1.3 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.63 |
Venue Form
Zenit Saint Petersburg Away
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
Zenit Saint Petersburg
W
