1
45%
Home Win
2.22
X
27%
Draw
3.68
2
28%
Away Win
3.6
xG Home
1.37
xG Away
1.02
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
BTTS
48%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Spartak Moscow an expected 1.4 goals and Rodina Moskva an expected 1.0 goals. Spartak Moscow have a 45% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Rodina Moskva at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 57%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.8%
1:0
12.6%
0:1
9.3%
0:0
9.2%
2:1
8.8%
2:0
8.6%
1:2
6.5%
0:2
4.7%
2:2
4.5%
3:1
4%
3:0
3.9%
1:3
2.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Spartak Moscow Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Head to Head
Rodina Moskva
1 : 5
Spartak Moscow
W
