1
20%
Home Win
5
X
22%
Draw
4.51
2
58%
Away Win
1.73
xG Home
1.02
xG Away
1.90
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
BTTS
54%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Spartak Moscow an expected 1.0 goals and Krasnodar an expected 1.9 goals. Spartak Moscow have a 20% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Krasnodar at 58%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 56%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.5%
0:1
10.2%
1:2
9.9%
0:2
9.7%
1:3
6.3%
0:3
6.1%
1:0
5.5%
0:0
5.4%
2:1
5.3%
2:2
5.1%
2:3
3.2%
1:4
3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Krasnodar Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 58% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.72 |
| Market Odds | 1.83 |
Team Comparison
| Spartak Moscow | Krasnodar | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 2 |
| 52 | Points | 66 |
| 50% | Win % | 67% |
| 1.57 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 1.3 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.77 |
