Slovan Liberec vs Baník Ostrava Prediction

1 – 0
Most Likely Score
Sat, 24 Oct 2026 · Czech Liga
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.77
xG Away 0.59
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
BTTS 37%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Slovan Liberec an expected 1.8 goals and Baník Ostrava an expected 0.6 goals. Slovan Liberec have a 66% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Baník Ostrava at 12%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 58%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 16.8%
2:0 14.8%
1:1 9.9%
0:0 9.5%
3:0 8.7%
2:1 8.7%
0:1 5.6%
3:1 5.1%
4:0 3.9%
1:2 2.9%
2:2 2.6%
4:1 2.3%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Slovan Liberec Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Team Comparison

Slovan Liberec Baník Ostrava
6 League Position 16
46 Points 22
40% Win % 17%
1.43 Avg Goals Scored 0.83
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5

Venue Form

Slovan Liberec at Home
W1 D0 L0 (1 games)
100% win rate
Baník Ostrava Away
W1 D1 L2 (4 games)
25% win rate

Recent Form

Slovan Liberec
W
Baník Ostrava
D L L W

Head to Head

15 Feb 2026 Czech Liga
Slovan Liberec 1 : 0 Baník Ostrava
L
13 Sep 2025 Czech Liga
Baník Ostrava 0 : 2 Slovan Liberec
W
01 Feb 2025 Czech Liga
Slovan Liberec 0 : 1 Baník Ostrava
W