1
62%
Home Win
1.6
X
23%
Draw
4.36
2
15%
Away Win
6.82
xG Home
1.75
xG Away
0.71
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
BTTS
42%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Sparta Praha an expected 1.8 goals and FK Jablonec an expected 0.7 goals. Sparta Praha have a 62% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and FK Jablonec at 15%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
15%
2:0
13.1%
1:1
10.6%
2:1
9.3%
0:0
8.6%
3:0
7.6%
0:1
6.1%
3:1
5.4%
1:2
3.8%
4:0
3.3%
2:2
3.3%
4:1
2.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Sparta Praha Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 62% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.61 |
| Market Odds | 1.72 |
Team Comparison
| Sparta Praha | FK Jablonec | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 5 |
| 76 | Points | 55 |
| 66% | Win % | 46% |
| 1.97 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.29 |
| 0.97 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.34 |
Venue Form
Sparta Praha at Home
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
FK Jablonec Away
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
Sparta Praha
W
FK Jablonec
W
