1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.81
xG Away
1.06
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
BTTS
55%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Sparta Praha an expected 1.8 goals and FK Jablonec an expected 1.1 goals. Sparta Praha have a 55% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and FK Jablonec at 22%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.9%
1:0
10.3%
2:1
9.8%
2:0
9.3%
0:1
6%
3:1
5.9%
1:2
5.8%
0:0
5.7%
3:0
5.6%
2:2
5.2%
0:2
3.2%
3:2
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Sparta Praha Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 55% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.82 |
| Market Odds | 1.93 |
Team Comparison
| Sparta Praha | FK Jablonec | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 4 |
| 63 | Points | 51 |
| 63% | Win % | 50% |
| 2 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.37 |
| 1.1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.1 |
Venue Form
Sparta Praha at Home
W3
D0
L0
(3 games)
FK Jablonec Away
W2
D0
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Sparta Praha
W
W
W
FK Jablonec
W
L
W
