1
56%
Home Win
1.8
X
22%
Draw
4.48
2
22%
Away Win
4.55
xG Home
1.90
xG Away
1.11
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
BTTS
57%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Southampton an expected 1.9 goals and Bristol City an expected 1.1 goals. Southampton have a 56% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Bristol City at 22%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 58%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.4%
2:1
9.9%
1:0
9.4%
2:0
8.9%
3:1
6.2%
1:2
5.8%
3:0
5.6%
0:1
5.5%
2:2
5.5%
0:0
5%
3:2
3.5%
0:2
3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Southampton Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 56% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.79 |
| Market Odds | 1.9 |
Team Comparison
| Southampton | Bristol City | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 12 |
| 80 | Points | 62 |
| 48% | Win % | 37% |
| 1.78 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.28 |
| 1.22 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.28 |
Venue Form
Southampton at Home
W2
D2
L0
(4 games)
Bristol City Away
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Southampton
W
W
D
D
Bristol City
W
L
D
