1
10%
Home Win
9.64
X
23%
Draw
4.3
2
66%
Away Win
1.51
xG Home
0.48
xG Away
1.66
Over 2.5 Goals
36%
BTTS
31%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives South Africa an expected 0.5 goals and Canada an expected 1.7 goals. South Africa have a 10% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Canada at 66%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 64%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
19.5%
0:2
16.1%
0:0
11.8%
1:1
9.4%
0:3
8.9%
1:2
7.8%
1:0
5.7%
1:3
4.3%
0:4
3.7%
2:1
2.3%
2:2
1.9%
1:4
1.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Canada Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 66% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.52 |
| Market Odds | 1.61 |
Team Comparison
| South Africa | Canada | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 2 |
| 4 | Points | 4 |
| 33% | Win % | 33% |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.67 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
