1
41%
Home Win
2.44
X
15%
Draw
6.85
2
41%
Away Win
2.44
xG Home
3.86
xG Away
3.86
Over 2.5 Goals
95%
BTTS
92%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Norway an expected 3.9 goals and Senegal an expected 3.9 goals. Norway have a 41% win probability, draw stands at 15%, and Senegal at 41%. The most likely exact scoreline is 3–3. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 95%.
Correct Score Predictions
3:3
4.1%
3:4
3.9%
4:3
3.9%
4:4
3.8%
2:3
3.2%
3:2
3.2%
2:4
3.1%
4:2
3.1%
2:2
2.5%
1:3
1.6%
3:1
1.6%
1:4
1.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Norway Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| Norway | Senegal | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 3 |
| 6 | Points | 3 |
| 67% | Win % | 33% |
| 2.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.67 |
| 2.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2 |