1
22%
Home Win
4.48
X
17%
Draw
5.73
2
60%
Away Win
1.67
xG Home
1.69
xG Away
2.76
Over 2.5 Goals
82%
BTTS
76%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Jordan an expected 1.7 goals and Algeria an expected 2.8 goals. Jordan have a 22% win probability, draw stands at 17%, and Algeria at 60%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 82%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:2
7.5%
1:3
6.9%
2:2
6.4%
2:3
5.8%
1:1
5.5%
1:4
4.8%
2:1
4.6%
0:2
4.5%
0:3
4.1%
2:4
4%
3:2
3.6%
3:3
3.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Jordan Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Jordan | Algeria | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 3 |
| 0 | Points | 4 |
| 0% | Win % | 33% |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.67 |
| 2.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.33 |