Sigma Olomouc vs Karviná Prediction

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1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sat, 23 May 2026 · Czech Liga
Karviná Karviná
1 48%
Home Win 2.07
X 23%
Draw 4.29
2 28%
Away Win 3.51
xG Home 1.76
xG Away 1.31
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
BTTS 60%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Sigma Olomouc an expected 1.8 goals and Karviná an expected 1.3 goals. Sigma Olomouc have a 48% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Karviná at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 59%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 10.7%
2:1 9.4%
1:0 8.2%
2:0 7.2%
1:2 7%
2:2 6.2%
0:1 6.1%
3:1 5.5%
0:0 4.6%
3:0 4.2%
0:2 4%
3:2 3.6%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Sigma Olomouc Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Venue Form

Sigma Olomouc at Home
W1 D1 L0 (2 games)
50% win rate

Recent Form

Sigma Olomouc
W D

Head to Head

16 May 2026 Czech Liga
Karviná 1 : 3 Sigma Olomouc
W
15 Mar 2026 Czech Liga
Sigma Olomouc 2 : 2 Karviná
D
18 Oct 2025 Czech Liga
Karviná 1 : 1 Sigma Olomouc
D