1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.53
xG Away
1.49
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
BTTS
61%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Sheffield United an expected 1.5 goals and Derby an expected 1.5 goals. Sheffield United have a 39% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Derby at 37%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 58%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.2%
2:1
8.5%
1:2
8.3%
1:0
7.5%
0:1
7.3%
2:2
6.3%
2:0
5.7%
0:2
5.4%
0:0
4.9%
3:1
4.3%
1:3
4.1%
3:2
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Sheffield United Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 39% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.56 |
| Market Odds | 2.73 |
Team Comparison
| Sheffield United | Derby | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | League Position | 8 |
| 60 | Points | 69 |
| 39% | Win % | 43% |
| 1.43 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.46 |
| 1.43 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.28 |
Venue Form
Sheffield United at Home
W0
D1
L4
(5 games)
Derby Away
W2
D2
L2
(6 games)
Recent Form
Sheffield United
D
L
L
L
L
Derby
D
D
L
W
L
