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Sassuolo vs Fiorentina — Prediction

Sassuolo Sassuolo
2 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Mon, 02 Nov 2026 · Serie A
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
Fiorentina Fiorentina

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
2 Nov 2026, 17:30 UTC
Competition
Serie A
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Sassuolo
  • Sassuolo 2–6 Lazio
  • Como 2–0 Sassuolo
  • Monza 2–1 Sassuolo
  • Sassuolo 0–0 Juventus
  • Bologna 2–2 Sassuolo
Fiorentina
  • Fiorentina 2–2 Atalanta
  • Inter 2–1 Fiorentina
  • Fiorentina 1–1 Napoli
  • Pisa 3–0 Fiorentina
  • Venezia 2–4 Fiorentina
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Sassuolo 9 · Fiorentina 9. Data saved: 2026-11-02 00:00 UTC.

Table season: 2026

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Sassuolo 52% · 2026-11-02 02:30 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

1 54%
Home Win 1.85
X 19%
Draw 5.27
2 27%
Away Win 3.7
Model goal expectation · 1 2.49
Model goal expectation · 2 1.75
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
BTTS 76%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Sassuolo 2.49 · Fiorentina 1.75.
1 54% · X 19% · 2 27%.

Correct Score Predictions

2:1 7.8%
2:2 6.8%
3:1 6.5%
1:1 6.3%
3:2 5.7%
1:2 5.5%
2:0 4.4%
4:1 4%
2:3 4%
3:0 3.7%
1:0 3.6%
4:2 3.5%

About this assessment

Model outcome Sassuolo Win
Probability 54%
Predicted Odds 1.85

Team Comparison

Sassuolo Fiorentina
15 League Position 18
8 Points 5
22% Win % 11%
1.56 Avg Goals Scored 1.22
2.44 Avg Goals Conceded 2.33

Venue Form

Sassuolo at Home
W0 D1 L1 (2 games)
0% win rate
Fiorentina Away
W1 D0 L2 (3 games)
33% win rate

Recent Form

Sassuolo
L L L D D
Fiorentina
D L D L W

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