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Atalanta vs Parma — Prediction

Atalanta Atalanta
2 – 0
Most likely score (model)
Mon, 02 Nov 2026 · Serie A
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
Parma Parma

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
2 Nov 2026, 19:45 UTC
Competition
Serie A
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Atalanta
  • Fiorentina 2–2 Atalanta
  • Atalanta 4–4 Frosinone
  • Ajax 2–0 Atalanta
  • Juventus 2–0 Atalanta
  • Atalanta 1–1 Cagliari
Parma
  • Parma 0–0 Udinese
  • Lazio 2–1 Parma
  • Parma 2–1 Genoa
  • Como 2–1 Parma
  • Parma 1–1 Monza
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Atalanta 9 · Parma 9. Data saved: 2026-11-02 00:00 UTC.

Table season: 2026

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Atalanta 72% · 2026-11-02 02:30 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

1 71%
Home Win 1.42
X 19%
Draw 5.22
2 10%
Away Win 9.82
Model goal expectation · 1 2.03
Model goal expectation · 2 0.62
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
BTTS 40%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Atalanta 2.03 · Parma 0.62.
1 71% · X 19% · 2 10%.

Correct Score Predictions

2:0 14.6%
1:0 14.4%
3:0 9.9%
2:1 9%
1:1 8.9%
0:0 7.1%
3:1 6.1%
4:0 5%
0:1 4.4%
4:1 3.1%
2:2 2.8%
1:2 2.7%

About this assessment

Model outcome Atalanta Win
Probability 71%
Predicted Odds 1.41

Team Comparison

Atalanta Parma
13 League Position 17
11 Points 5
33% Win % 11%
1.78 Avg Goals Scored 0.56
1.89 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67

Venue Form

Atalanta at Home
W0 D2 L0 (2 games)
0% win rate
Parma Away
W0 D0 L2 (2 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Atalanta
D D L L D
Parma
D L W L D

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