1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.52
xG Away
1.46
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
BTTS
60%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Sarpsborg 08 an expected 1.5 goals and Rosenborg BK an expected 1.5 goals. Sarpsborg 08 have a 39% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Rosenborg BK at 36%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 57%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.3%
2:1
8.6%
1:2
8.2%
1:0
7.7%
0:1
7.4%
2:2
6.3%
2:0
5.9%
0:2
5.4%
0:0
5.1%
3:1
4.4%
1:3
4%
3:2
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Sarpsborg 08 Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 39% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.56 |
| Market Odds | 2.73 |
Team Comparison
| Sarpsborg 08 | Rosenborg BK | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | League Position | 7 |
| 41 | Points | 42 |
| 37% | Win % | 37% |
| 1.6 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.5 |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.4 |
Venue Form
Sarpsborg 08 at Home
W3
D1
L2
(6 games)
Rosenborg BK Away
W1
D1
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
Sarpsborg 08
L
D
W
W
W
Rosenborg BK
L
W
L
D