Sarpsborg 08 vs Rosenborg BK Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sun, 18 Oct 2026 · Eliteserien
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.52
xG Away 1.46
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
BTTS 60%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Sarpsborg 08 an expected 1.5 goals and Rosenborg BK an expected 1.5 goals. Sarpsborg 08 have a 39% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Rosenborg BK at 36%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 57%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 11.3%
2:1 8.6%
1:2 8.2%
1:0 7.7%
0:1 7.4%
2:2 6.3%
2:0 5.9%
0:2 5.4%
0:0 5.1%
3:1 4.4%
1:3 4%
3:2 3.2%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Sarpsborg 08 Win
Probability 39%
Predicted Odds 2.56
Market Odds 2.73

Team Comparison

Sarpsborg 08 Rosenborg BK
9 League Position 7
41 Points 42
37% Win % 37%
1.6 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4

Venue Form

Sarpsborg 08 at Home
W3 D1 L2 (6 games)
50% win rate
Rosenborg BK Away
W1 D1 L2 (4 games)
25% win rate

Recent Form

Sarpsborg 08
L D W W W
Rosenborg BK
L W L D