Saint-Étienne vs Rodez Prediction

Saint-Étienne Saint-Étienne
1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Fri, 15 May 2026 · Ligue 1
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.53
xG Away 1.13
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
BTTS 53%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Saint-Étienne an expected 1.5 goals and Rodez an expected 1.1 goals. Saint-Étienne have a 46% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Rodez at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 50%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.1%
1:0 10.7%
2:1 9.2%
2:0 8.2%
0:1 7.9%
0:0 7%
1:2 6.8%
2:2 5.2%
3:1 4.7%
0:2 4.5%
3:0 4.2%
3:2 2.7%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Saint-Étienne Win
Probability 46%
Predicted Odds 2.17
Market Odds 2.31

Venue Form

Saint-Étienne at Home
W0 D1 L0 (1 games)
0% win rate
Rodez Away
W1 D1 L0 (2 games)
50% win rate

Recent Form

Saint-Étienne
D
Rodez
D W

Head to Head

15 May 2026 Ligue 1
Saint-Étienne 0 : 0 Rodez
D
02 May 2026 Ligue 2
Rodez 2 : 1 Saint-Étienne
L
16 Aug 2025 Ligue 2
Saint-Étienne 4 : 0 Rodez
W